Archive for the Dollar Category

The Federal Reserve’s Explicit Goal: Devalue The Dollar 33%

Posted in Dollar, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Monetary Policy on February 12, 2012 by JT

This is very troublesome for those planning to live on a fixed income long term.  This type of planned devaluation is a structured default on government obligations like social security payments.  It is also a blatant  transfer of wealth(ie tax) from the savings and wages of the people  to the Federal Reserve and the government.  What is worse, is the the planned 2% rate of inflation is based on Core Inflation, which omits the impact of food and energy, where most inflation frequently occurs.  This type of systemic criminal behavior on the part of the Federal Reserve is another reason to own gold, silver and other commodities as a way to opt out of this insidious transfer of wealth and it’s destructive impact on the middle class. 

JT

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) has made it official: After its latest two day meeting, it announced its goal to devalue the dollar by 33% over the next 20 years. The debauch of the dollar will be even greater if the Fed exceeds its goal of a 2 percent per year increase in the price level.

An increase in the price level of 2% in any one year is barely noticeable. Under a gold standard, such an increase was uncommon, but not unknown. The difference is that when the dollar was as good as gold, the years of modest inflation would be followed, in time, by declining prices. As a consequence, over longer periods of time, the price level was unchanged. A dollar 20 years hence was still worth a dollar.

But, an increase of 2% a year over a period of 20 years will lead to a 50% increase in the price level. It will take 150 (2032) dollars to purchase the same basket of goods 100 (2012) dollars can buy today. What will be called the “dollar” in 2032 will be worth one-third less (100/150) than what we call a dollar today.

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via The Federal Reserve’s Explicit Goal: Devalue The Dollar 33% – Forbes.

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Why Our Currency Will Fail

Posted in Debt Collapse, Dollar on February 12, 2012 by JT

The idea that the very same economic forces that are currently plaguing Greece, et al., are somehow not relevant to the United States’ circumstances does not hold water. As goes the rest of the world, so goes the US. When we back up far enough, it is clear that money and debt are there to reflect and be in service to the production of real things by real people, not the other way around. With too much debt relative to production, it is the debt that will suffer. The same is true of money. Neither are magical substances; they are merely markers for real things. When they get out of balance with reality, they lose value, and sometimes even their entire meaning.This report lays out the case that the US is irretrievably down the rabbit hole of deficits and debt, and that, even if there were endless natural resources of increasing quality available at this point, servicing the debt loads and liabilities of the nation will require both austerity and a pretty serious fall in living standards for most people. Of course, the age of cheap oil is over. And as Jim Puplava says, the oil price is the new Fed funds rate, meaning that it is now the price of oil that sets the pace of economic movement, not interest rates established by the Fed.

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via Why Our Currency Will Fail – Blogs at Chris Martenson.

Foreigners Sell Record $85 Billion In Treasurys In 6 Consecutive Weeks – Time To Get Concerned? | ZeroHedge

Posted in Bond Market, Dollar on January 18, 2012 by JT

Last week, when we pointed out what was then a record $77 billion in Treasury sales from the Fed’s custody account, in addition to noting the patently obvious, namely that contrary to what one hears in the media, foreigners are offloading US paper hand over first, there was this little tidbit: “The question is what they are converting the USD into, and how much longer will the go on for: the last thing the US can afford is a wholesale dumping of its Treasurys. Because as the chart below vividly demonstrates, the traditional diagonal rise in foreign holdings of US paper has not only pleateaued, but it is in fact declining: a first in the history of the post-globalization world.” Well as of today’s H.4.1 update, the outflow has increased by yet another $8 billion to a new all time record of $85 billion, in 6 consecutive weeks, which is also tied for the longest consecutive period of outflows from the Fed’s Custody account ever. This week’s sale brings the total notional of Treasurys in the Custody account to just $2.66 trillion (down from a record $2.75 trillion) and the same as April of last year. And since the sellers are countries who have traditionally constantly recycled their trade surplus into US paper, this is quite a distrubing development. So while the elephant in the room could have been ignored 4, 3 and 2 weeks ago, it is getting increasingly more difficult to do so at this point, especially with US bond auctions mysteriously pricing at record low yields month after month. But at least the mass dump in Treasurys explains the $100 swing higher in gold in the past month.

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via Foreigners Sell Record $85 Billion In Treasurys In 6 Consecutive Weeks – Time To Get Concerned? | ZeroHedge.

More Deficits, More Debt

Posted in Debt Collapse, Dollar, Monetary Policy, National Debt on December 20, 2011 by JT

December 19, 2011 – In the first two months of the current fiscal
year that began on October 1st, the US national debt has grown $320
billion. That is $21 billion more than the same 2-month period last
year, which illustrates that the growth of the national debt continues
to accelerate. The reason of course is the federal government’s huge
operating deficit, which is not getting any smaller. This point is
illustrated in the following chart.

Hyperinflation is always the outcome of unchecked government
spending. The spending leads to ever greater deficits, which requires
the government to borrow ever greater amounts of money. Eventually a
point is reached when the government needs to borrow more money than
lenders have the capacity – or willingness – to lend. Thereafter the
government can take either of two alternative paths.

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via More Deficits, More Debt.

Gold is on the Verge of Moving into Bubble Phase of the Bull Market

Posted in Dollar, Gold, Silver on December 18, 2011 by JT

By Toby Connor, GoldScentsI know that during a correction of the magnitude we are seeing right now it seems more like the gold bull is dead than on the verge of moving into what I expect will be one of the greatest parabolic moves in history.However, all of the conditions necessary to launch the bubble phase are now in place. Gold is in the process of putting in an intermediate degree bottom. That bottom, which is only days away if it didn’t already happen today, is going to be the single greatest buying opportunity, probably of the decade. Gold sentiment is at multiyear lows. Retail traders that bought at $1900 have gotten wiped out. The media is full of stories calling for the death of the gold bull. Institutional traders from John Paulson, George Soros, and Dennis Gartman have all gotten knocked off the bull. Breadth in the universally hated mining sector is back down to levels that have only been exceeded during the crash in 2008.

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via Gold is on the Verge of Moving into Bubble Phase of the Bull Market.

European Bank Runs And Underestimated Physical Gold Demand

Posted in Debt Collapse, Dollar, Fiat Money, Gold, Monetary Policy, Silver on December 7, 2011 by JT

The demand for gold is vastly underestimated. About 18 months ago I wrote about Euro Gold and the Euro Zone and Euro Evaporation Leading To Credit Default Swaps and IMF Gold. One key excerpt was:

The Euro is broken. This was its destiny. This is the destiny of all fiat currencies. These bureau-rats cannot stop this anymore than Cnut the Great could command the tide to halt.

And here we are.

THE GREAT CREDIT CONTRACTION

The Great Credit Contraction has been in relentless advance for years. This is a massively deflationary period as capital, both real and fictitious, burrows down the liquidity pyramid into safer and more liquid assets. The fictitious capital that does not move fast enough evaporates. Poof goes trillions of wealth!

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via European Bank Runs And Underestimated Physical Gold Demand.

James Turk: Expect A Violent Move Higher In Precious Metals, Especially Silver

Posted in Debt Collapse, Dollar, Economy, Gold, Silver, Technical Analysis on December 7, 2011 by JT

Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul: While the silver price (NYSEARCA:SLV) moves higher with the gold price (NYSEARCA:GLD) during this latest consolidation phase in the bull market for precious metals, Goldmoney’s James Turk expects another violent move higher for the metals, especially the price of silver.

“This move [in the silver price] is going to catch a lot of people by surprise as evidenced by the extremely low sentiment readings,” Turk told King World News, Monday, pointing to the lack of overall enthusiasm in the precious metals market of late, with a relatively steep contango in the silver futures market chain serving to support his thesis. “Those low readings are a clear indication that there is a lot of money on the sidelines that is waiting to jump on board.” Get my next ALERT 100% FREE

Such low sentiment readings and steep contango prices in the silver futures haven’t been seen since the first quarter of 2010, when problems in the Greek sovereign debt market first emerged. At that time, fears of another Lehman event, this time from Europe, took the DJIA sharply lower from its intermediate post-crash peek of 11,250, down to 9,600, a nearly 15 percent correction in the 30 Industrials.

In contrast, after trading between the $15 and $18 range during a nine-month period of September 2009 and June 2010, the silver price climbed higher in the face of a risk-off-then-risk-on-again trade in stocks of 2010 as the white metal never looked back, soaring to just shy of $50, from the $15 base of the previous flagpole pattern.

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via James Turk: Expect A Violent Move Higher In Precious Metals, Especially Silver.

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